Monday, October 31, 2005

The Time has comeand is passing

The final month before the MBA entrance exams will commence. The time when 1 more minute can get you in or leave you out. The time when the coin will land on its face and reveal either its ugly or beautiful side. The time when there's one other chance to go to the University among the boys and come out as men. At this time I remember only "If":


If you can keep your head when all about you
Are losing theirs and blaming it on you,
If you can trust yourself when all men doubt you,But make allowance for their doubting too
If you can wait and not be tired by waiting,Or being lied about, don't deal in lies,Or being hated, don't give way to hating,And yet don't look too good, nor talk too wise:

If you can dream--and not make dreams your master,If you can think--and not make thoughts your aim;
If you can meet with Triumph and DisasterAnd treat those two impostors just the same;
If you can bear to hear the truth you've spoken Twisted by knaves to make a trap for fools,Or watch the things you gave your life to, broken,And stoop and build 'em up with worn-out tools:
If you can make one heap of all your winnings And risk it all on one turn of pitch-and-toss, And lose, and start again at your beginnings And never breath a word about your loss;
If you can force your heart and nerve and sinew To serve your turn long after they are gone, And so hold on when there is nothing in you Except the Will which says to them: "Hold on!"

If you can talk with crowds and keep your virtue,Or walk with kings--nor lose the common touch, If neither foes nor loving friends can hurt you;I f all men count with you, but none too much,
If you can fill the unforgiving minuteWith sixty seconds' worth of distance run,Yours is the Earth and everything that's in it,And--which is more--you'll be a Man, my son!

--Rudyard Kipling
I hope I can turn these lines into reality!

Monday, October 24, 2005

Some memoirs - from USA

My US visit had several interesing notes. First I set foot on American soil on 4 th July, their Independence Day. Then I spent a long weekend there, something that is a rarity in India. The occassion was Labor day. Americans celebrate labor day on the first Monday of the month of September. Labor day also marks the end of summer and in older times schools and colleges used to re open after the long weekend. Most of them still follow the tradition. Apart from that I had the opprotunity to visit am American University - The SUNY at Albany. One of my first cousin's works there and so I had to be there!! Work in the US was fun with lots of time at hand to complete my tasks, so no late nights and no work on weekends.

Thursday, October 20, 2005

Current Affairs 1

1. France's Carrefour, England's Tesco, Germany's Metro and America's Wal-Mart are all big retail stores in their respective countries and globally.
2. Why is india afraid of FDI in retail?
-Global retailers will kill the local ‘kirana’ industry-FDI in retail could lead to millions of job losses-Global retailers will put pressure on farmers and suppliers-Predatory pricing policies will lead to monopolies and harm the consumer-Global retailers will trigger growth in cities, causing skewed urban development
3. Erstwhile Wal-Mart International CEO John Menzer [Menzer is now vice-chairman of Wal-Mart.]
4. Foreign retailers present in China

Four of the top 10 global retailers, 35 out of top 50, 78 out of 250

Combined market share of top 17 foreign retailers in China: $13.8 billion out of China’s retail sales of $628 billion or a mere 2.2 per cent

How much foreign retailers export out of China:
Wal-Mart: $15 billion-$18 billion
Metro: $2.4 billion
Carrefour: Over $2 billion

Total sourcing of global retailers from China: approx. $60 billion
Percentage of workforce employed in retail: 6%
No.of workers employed by top 100 retailers: 810,000

5. India's retail industry - the fourth largest in the world - accounts for 11 per cent of the country's GDP and employs over 40 million people (about 7 per cent of total employment in the country). Now, a huge majority of the retail workforce is in kiranas. This sector, in fact, acts as an informal social security net - almost anyone without a job can set up a kirana.

Some facts about global retailers in China:
The top 100 retailers (both domestic and foreign) in China had combined sales of $60 billion in 2004, according to the China Chain Store & Franchise Association. These 100 companies have so far opened 30,416 stores with a total area of 25.8 million square metres. But - and here's the revelation - they have only 9.6 per cent share of China's $628-billion retail trade! That
figure has grown from 2.9 per cent in 2000.
More importantly, among the 78 foreign-funded firms in China, only 17 have made it to the top 100. Together, these 17 companies have a combined turnover of $13.8 billion in China, or a mere 2.2 per cent of China's total retail trade. Present in that list of 17 are Wal-Mart, Carrefour, Metro and Tesco, four of the world's six largest retailers. (Their combined global turnover is in excess of $449 billion.) It has taken these giants over 13 years to grab a minuscule 2.2 per cent share of the China market.
It must be mentioned that the global giants got unfettered access into China only in 2004. Therefore, their performance cannot be compared with the rest of the country's retail sector, but must be benchmarked only against the top 100 firms. When seen thus, the foreign firms account for only 23 per cent sales of the top 100 retailers. China's public-sector retailers
(yes, they have retailing PSUs!) had a 32 per cent share and private sector retailers had 45 per cent.
6. Fact about US retails
But the fact is that the single-store operations still control a little less than 50 per cent of US retail trade.
7. Reasons for supporting Retail FDI in India:

a) Again, back home, in Chennai, where large and organised supermarket chains like FoodWorld and Nilgiri's have grabbed a 20 per cent market share, the kiranas haven't been slaughtered. They are smarter, more efficient, and more customer-friendly than they were five years ago. They are matching the chains' prices and continue to do brisk business. Even stores in the close vicinity of these large supermarkets have survived. "Small businesses have their own competitive advantages. They are local; they are usually in the same block that the customers are in; and they are very convenient. They know their customers by name, so they offer great customer service. They have tailored their inventory for their customers, so they have great inventory management, and many times they give credit.
Small businesses have their own model, offer a different product mix, and keep their customers happy. I think small businesses can grow and prosper with Wal-Mart," Menzer had argued in an exclusive interview with BW during his May visit.
b) More Jobs but there will be transactional pains. Here, poor distribution and below-par processes is another bottleneck.
"If the economy grows at 6.5 per cent or so every year, we will have 50 per cent more goods to move in the next 5-7 years. If you do not have an efficient distribution chain, the economy cannot grow... Such inefficiency will lead to job losses. If you do not have organised distribution, you won't have employment growth," argues Harsh Bahadur, managing director, Metro Cash & Carry, India.
c) Finally, if the fear of kiranas being snuffed out is true, then the government ought to be equally concerned about Indian retailers as well. Several large and influential Indian business groups like the Tatas and Anil Dhirubhai Ambani Enterprises have ambitious plans that include setting up of hundreds of supermarkets and hypermarkets. Won't these kill kiranas and lead to job losses?
d) In reality, foreign retailers will be in a position to influence employment only several years after they enter India. But they will have an impact on the consumer almost immediately. Of course, in India, the consumer is invariably forgotten when protectionist lobbies voice their 'concerns'.
e) India's supply chain inefficiencies are legendary. The Rs 50,000-crore fruits and vegetables sector is estimated to suffer between 20 and 40 per cent wastage due to poor transportation, storage and handling. "The cost of the intermediary in India is the highest in the world. For every one rupee a consumer spends, the farmer gets 20-22 paisa. Whereas in developed
countries, it's more like 70-80 paisa," points out Mansingh.
f) But critics argue that if domestic companies can deliver such savings, why do we need FDI? They miss a crucial point. That while domestic players will bring efficiencies into the supply chain, they cannot link India's farmer to the global supply chain. That's where the bigger gains lie and that's exactly what happened in China.
Several Indian retailers like RPG Group's Spencer's are beginning to see this happen. "We are seeing savings of 15-50 per cent if we disintermediate and buy from the farmer directly. Any large retailer in India has to go the farmer directly. This will lead to a higher realisation to the farmer, lower price to the consumer and better margins to the retailer," says K.
Radhakrishnan, head (merchandising), RPG Retail.
But the question being asked is: how do they do it?
The answers. First, by making the supply chain more efficient. Second, by using their brute buying power to squeeze suppliers. And third, by using monopolistic and unfair trade practices

8. BPOs by IT companies
Infosys set up Progeon in Bangalore and Satyam started Nipuna in Hyderabad. HCL Technologies leveraged its British Telecom relationship to buy its Ireland call centre and supplemented that with a facility in Noida
9. Gecis Global is now called Genpact.
10 The billing rates for call handling tasks are today down at $7-12 an hour from $15-18 an hour in 2002.
11. Steel Investments in India

On 8 October, Lakshmi N. Mittal, chairman and CEO, Mittal Steel Company, signed an MoU with the Jharkhand government for setting up a steel plant as well as mining operations in the state. The envisaged 12 million tonnes per annum (mtpa) plant will be built at an investment of Rs 40,000 crore.
While comparisons with Posco's agreement with the Orissa government might seem obvious, it is, however, the deal that Tata Steel signed with the Jharkhand government in September that begs attention.
The two memorandums signed are almost identical in their broad details: plants with outputs of 12 million tonnes a year, investment amounts of around Rs 40,000 crore (Tata Steel is planning to invest Rs 2,000 crore more than Mittal), development of iron ore mines, and proposals to put up power projects and townships. Even the time frames are similar.
"It was a masterstroke from Tata Steel," says an industry observer. While the Mittals were still hedging their bets with the state government, hoping to get a swap or export deal for iron ore, Tata Steel steamed ahead with their MoU as soon as the Jharkhand government renewed the land lease for the Jamshedpur plant. Relations between the Tata group and the Jharkhand
government has been off key for the last six years when the land lease renewal issue was going through a series of court cases.

Monday, October 17, 2005

GDP Growth and India's Economy

Consider these points about contributions of various sectors in India's GDP growth:

DATA ON the macro economy for the first quarter of this fiscal year are encouraging. At the same time it will be wrong to ignore the cautionary signals.

First, the CSO data for the first quarter. A healthy 8.1 per cent growth in the GDP in April-June on top of a 7.6 per cent growth during the same period last year seems to suggest that the economy is finally moving to a higher growth trajectory.

Sustainability factor

The key issue is really one of sustaining the high growth seen in the first quarter. That is going to be challenging if the past is any guide. During the first three years of the Tenth Plan the average GDP growth has been 6.5 per cent. The original plan document had postulated an average growth of 8 per cent over the five years. Clearly there is considerable catching up to do if the economy is to achieve a rate somewhere near that level.

If we look at the break up of the growth data during the first quarter Manufacturing has been the star performer this year with an 11.3 per cent growth and helped industry move up by 9.7 per cent on a year on year basis. If sustained, the manufacturing boom will help correct the "over reliance'' on the services sector.

Gems in services
A whole range of sub-sectors within services have fared very well. These include trade, hotels, transport and communications, insurance and real estate. Clearly they add to the GDP growth but one is less sure as to whether some or all these service sectors by themselves drive the economy forward or they derive their growth from a buoyant economy. The opening up of the insurance sector, for instance, has widened the market. India's recent success in telecommunications, especially in mobile telephony, is well recognised.

Laggard farm sector

Agriculture continues to drag down the GDP growth. During the first three months, it grew by just 2 per cent against 3.8 per cent last year. Mining has been another laggard with a growth rate of just 3.2 per cent, less than half of last year.

Source: The Hindu

Sunday, October 16, 2005

Current Affairs

Ques 1. Which institution has been established by the United Progressive Alliance Government for boosting the Manufacturing sector?

Ans. National Manufacturing Competitiveness Council (NMCC)
(It has brought out the National Manufacturing Strategy Paper)

Ques 2. When did Sri Lanka adopt the presidential form of government?
Ans 2. 1978

Ques 3. Who is the founder of the Self-Employed Women's Association (SEWA)?
Ans 3 Ela R. Bhatt

4. This bank was established in Lahore in 1943 by Rai Bahadur Lala Sohan Lal, who also became its first Chairman. After Partition, the bank's registered office shifted to Amritsar. Its current head office is in New Delhi. Can you name this bank? ANS-- Oriental Bank of Commerce

5.Can you name the company set up by Prince Charles in the early 1990s to make organic food products? ANS-- Duchy Originals

6. Which company is focussing on long-term goals collectively called the 'Garuda Vision'? (Clue: This has got nothing to do with Indonesia's airliner Garuda!) ANS-- Ranbaxy

7. "Know. Now." This is the base line of a brand, 150 years old, which is in the business of providing information to its customers. Which company?
ANS-- Reuters

8. What was created by Umesh Rao, an artist with JWT, and Bobby Kooka in 1946? ANS--The Air-India Maharajah; Kooka was Air-India's Commercial Director then.

9. What is the real name of Deep Throat, the secret source whose insider guidance was vital to The Washington Post's groundbreaking coverage of the Watergate scandal?
Ans-- W. Mark Felt, FBI's No. 2

(As the bureau's second- and third-ranking official during a period when the FBI was battling for its independence against the administration of President Richard M. Nixon, Felt had the means and the motive to help uncover the web of internal spies, secret surveillance, dirty tricks and coverups that led to Nixon's unprecedented resignation on Aug. 9, 1974, and to prison sentences for some of Nixon's highest-ranking aides.)

10. Names of reporters aided by "Deep Throat"?
Ans-- Bob Woodward and Carl Bernstein

11. Which WorldCom chief was found guilty of fraud?
Ans-- Former Worldcom chief executive Bernie Ebbers has been convicted of conspiracy and fraud in connection with the 2002 collapse of the telecoms giant.
(Shareholders lost about $180bn (£94bn) in Worldcom's collapse - the largest bankruptcy in US history - and 20,000 workers lost their jobs. )